Manchester City vs Watford Betting Tips: EFL Cup Round 3

In the upcoming EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Watford, a commanding win for the reigning Premier League champions seems highly probable. Based on recent form, City are likely to dominate this fixture, and the Asian Handicap market at -2.5 offers a favorable betting angle at odds of 1.93. Our analysis predicts a comprehensive victory by at least three goals, positioning City as heavy favorites in this encounter.

Manchester City: Recent Performance and Key Stats

Manchester City’s most recent Premier League fixture saw them draw 2-2 with Arsenal at Etihad Stadium. Despite the result, City controlled the game with an overwhelming 78% possession, registering 11 shots on goal. Erling Haaland and John Stones found the net, continuing City’s strong attacking form. Pep Guardiola’s side remains unbeaten in their last 20 matches and has scored two or more goals in each of their past five fixtures, making them a force to be reckoned with.

Manchester City: Last 10 League Games

  • Wins: 7
  • Draws: 2
  • Losses: 1
  • Average Goals Scored: 2.3 per game
  • Possession: 64.7%
  • Top Scorers: Erling Haaland (12), Phil Foden (3), Josko Gvardiol (2)
  • Key Playmaker: Bernardo Silva (6 assists)
  • Defensive Strength: Ederson Moraes (4 clean sheets)

City’s dominance is further reflected in their ability to control possession, averaging 672.2 passes per match with a passing accuracy that suffocates opposition play. Their defensive resilience has also been noteworthy, conceding just 0.8 goals per game while allowing opponents an average of 3.0 shots on target.

Watford: Struggling to Find Form

Watford come into this match on the back of a demoralizing 4-1 defeat at the hands of Norwich City in the Championship. The Hornets managed just 43% possession and three shots on target, with Ryan Andrews netting their sole goal. Watford’s inconsistent form has been evident, with the team failing to secure a win in their last three outings, which puts them in a tough position against an in-form Manchester City.

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Watford: Last 10 League Games

  • Wins: 6
  • Draws: 1
  • Losses: 3
  • Average Goals Scored: 1.9 per game
  • Possession: 50.8%
  • Top Scorers: Ryan Andrews, Mileta Rajovic, Edo Kayembe, Thomas Ince (3 goals each)
  • Key Playmaker: Giorgi Chakvetadze (2 assists)
  • Defensive Weakness: 1.2 goals conceded per game

Watford’s defense has struggled to keep out opposing teams, particularly against stronger sides. Their high concession rate, combined with Manchester City’s ruthless attacking ability, suggests they may have difficulty keeping the scoreline respectable in this match.

Manchester City vs Watford Head-to-Head Record

Manchester City’s recent dominance over Watford cannot be overstated. In their last six meetings, City have won all matches, with an average of 5.33 goals per game. Their last encounter saw City secure a 5-1 victory at Etihad Stadium, which only underscores the disparity between these two sides.

Key Stats for Manchester City vs Watford:

  • Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 20 matches.
  • Manchester City have scored two or more goals in their last five fixtures.
  • Watford have failed to win any of their last three matches.

Manchester City vs Watford Betting Tips and Prediction

Considering City’s dominance, particularly at home, and Watford’s recent defensive vulnerabilities, betting on Manchester City -2.5 on the Asian Handicap offers an attractive option. Given that City tend to control games from the start, another strong betting alternative is backing City to lead at half-time and full-time.

Prediction: Manchester City -2.5 on the Asian Handicap @ 1.93

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Conclusion

Manchester City’s superior form, coupled with Watford’s ongoing struggles, suggests that this EFL Cup encounter is likely to result in a comfortable victory for the home side. With a formidable attack led by Erling Haaland and a defense that has kept numerous clean sheets, City are poised to win by a large margin. Bettors should seriously consider the -2.5 Asian Handicap, as well as alternative markets such as City leading both at half-time and full-time.