The London Stadium will host a fierce Premier League clash on Saturday, May 4, as West Ham United prepare to welcome Tottenham Hotspur in a match carrying crucial implications for mid-table momentum and European qualification ambitions. With both sides suffering turbulent recent form, the Hammers enter this derby fixture with statistical and psychological edges over their North London rivals.
A trip to East London is next ⏭️
— Tottenham Hotspur (@SpursOfficial) May 3, 2025
👉 @Castrol pic.twitter.com/9ORyQsftTY
Current Form & Momentum: West Ham Have Edge
West Ham United – Last 10 Matches (Premier League)
- W-D-L: 2W, 3D, 5L
- Goals Scored: 10 (1.0 per game)
- Goals Conceded: 12
- Clean Sheets: 2
- Key Players:
- Jarrod Bowen: 3 goals, 3 assists
- Tomas Soucek: 3 goals
- Mohammed Kudus: 1 goal
Tottenham Hotspur – Last 10 Matches (Premier League)
- W-D-L: 3W, 1D, 6L
- Goals Scored: 14 (1.4 per game)
- Goals Conceded: 19
- Clean Sheets: 1
- Key Players:
- Brennan Johnson: 4 goals
- Richarlison & Tel: 2 goals each
- James Maddison: 3 assists
While Tottenham’s goal count slightly edges West Ham, their porous defense — shipping 19 goals in 10 league outings — has contributed to a string of losses, especially away from home.
Home vs Away Dynamics: London Stadium Factor
Tottenham’s away record has been dismal, with four consecutive road losses in the Premier League. Their latest was a 5-1 thrashing at Anfield, exposing vulnerabilities in Postecoglou’s high-line system. Meanwhile, West Ham have fared better at home, with credible draws against Southampton and Bournemouth and a close-fought loss to Liverpool.
Key Tactical Battle: Midfield Control & Transition Play
David Moyes’ midfield, spearheaded by Ward-Prowse and Soucek, offers balance and set-piece threat, while Lucas Paqueta thrives in transition and final third creativity. Tottenham’s midfield, though technically gifted, has struggled under pressing, with Yves Bissouma and Pape Sarr often overrun when isolated.
Player to Watch: Jarrod Bowen
Bowen has scored in two consecutive home matches and plays a pivotal role in West Ham’s vertical attacking transitions. He will likely exploit the space left by Tottenham’s full-backs, especially against Djed Spence, who tends to commit high up the pitch.
Showing our support for @Blesma in the build-up to Spurs ⚒️ pic.twitter.com/QM2fFW5Wfu
— West Ham United (@WestHam) May 2, 2025
West Ham vs Tottenham Predicted Lineups
West Ham (4-2-3-1)
- GK: Alphonse Areola
- DEF: Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Jean-Clair Todibo, Max Kilman, Emerson
- MID: Tomas Soucek, James Ward-Prowse
- ATT: Jarrod Bowen, Lucas Paqueta, Mohammed Kudus
- ST: Niclas Füllkrug
Tottenham (4-3-3)
- GK: Guglielmo Vicario
- DEF: Archie Gray, Kevin Danso, Ben Davies, Djed Spence
- MID: Dejan Kulusevski, Yves Bissouma, Pape Sarr
- ATT: Wilson Odobert, Richarlison, Mathys Tel
West Ham vs Tottenham Betting Insights
Tottenham have failed to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap in 7 of their last 10 away games, highlighting a pattern of narrow losses or outright defeats.
Recommended Market:
- West Ham -0.25 Asian Handicap @ 1.87
- Implied Win Probability: 60% (vs bookie-estimated 53.5%)
Place your bets at JitaBet, JitaWin, and Jita88, they offer really good odds, play and win big!
GP on responding in the right way against Spurs ⚒️#TalkingPoint with @LycamobileUK 📞 pic.twitter.com/BA20Zwvhbr
— West Ham United (@WestHam) May 2, 2025
Conclusion
As London derby day approaches, West Ham appear primed to seize the moment against an increasingly fragile Tottenham side. The numbers support the Hammers: better recent home performances, superior defensive metrics, and an attacking trio in Bowen, Kudus, and Füllkrug ready to exploit Spurs’ vulnerabilities. Ange Postecoglou’s men continue to falter away from home, and despite flashes of attacking promise, their structural instability and leaky defense could once again prove costly.
This fixture presents a strategic betting opportunity with solid value on West Ham -0.25 on the Asian Handicap, a compelling 2-1 correct score angle, and Bowen as a standout anytime scorer. With the momentum swinging towards East London, expect the Hammers to make a statement and outmuscle their North London rivals under the lights at the London Stadium.
