Aston Villa welcome Paris Saint-Germain to Villa Park in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League quarter-final clash. After a 3-1 defeat in Paris, Unai Emery’s side face an uphill task to overturn the deficit against a PSG team that has hit peak form. We assess the data, form, and projected lineups to provide a comprehensive analysis of this pivotal encounter.
The second leg at Villa Park is 🔜 #UCL pic.twitter.com/0yRvif2pKr
— Aston Villa (@AVFCOfficial) April 14, 2025
Aston Villa vs PSG Head-to-Head Summary
First Leg Result: PSG 3-1 Aston Villa
Venue: Parc des Princes
Goalscorers:
- PSG: Desire Doue, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Nuno Mendes
- Aston Villa: Morgan Rogers
PSG controlled 68% of the possession and outshot Villa 12-2 on target, showcasing their tactical superiority and offensive depth.
Aston Villa: Recent Form & Key Stats
- 5 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses in last 10 matches
- Average 1.6 goals per game
- 55.8% average possession
- Average 5.2 shots on target and 13.7 total attempts per game
- Concede 1.2 goals per match on average
- 3 clean sheets in their last 10 games
Top Contributors:
- Ollie Watkins: 4 goals
- Donyell Malen and Marco Asensio: 3 goals each
- Morgan Rogers: 3 assists
- Emiliano Martinez and Robin Olsen: 3 clean sheets combined
Paris Saint-Germain: Recent Form & Key Stats
- Unbeaten in last 10 games with 9 wins and 1 draw
- Scoring 3.2 goals per game on average
- Dominant 67.3% average possession
- 7.7 shots on target from 18.1 total attempts per game
- Only 1 goal conceded on average per match
- 3 clean sheets in last 10 fixtures
Top Contributors:
- Ousmane Dembele: 11 goals
- Desire Doue and Goncalo Ramos: 4 goals each
- Bradley Barcola: 6 assists
- Donnarumma and Safonov: 3 clean sheets combined
Aston Villa vs PSG Predicted Lineups & Tactical Setups
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
- GK: Emiliano Martinez
- DEF: Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne
- MID: Boubacar Kamara, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers, John McGinn, Marcus Rashford
- FW: Ollie Watkins
Tactical Focus: Emery may push full-backs higher and task Rashford and Rogers to create overloads in wide areas, but the midfield will be under severe pressure without the ball.
PSG (4-3-3)
- GK: Gianluigi Donnarumma
- DEF: Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes
- MID: Vitinha, Fabian Ruiz, Joao Neves
- FW: Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Desire Doue
Tactical Focus: PSG will likely play a possession-dominant game with rapid vertical transitions. Dembele and Kvaratskhelia provide width, while Doue adds a dynamic central threat.
Luis Enrique: "Tomorrow's match will be very intense" ⚔️#AVFCPSG | #UCL https://t.co/TsNuH1bXMu
— Paris Saint-Germain (@PSG_English) April 14, 2025
Aston Villa vs PSG Key Matchups
Watkins vs Marquinhos
Villa’s top scorer will need to find space against PSG’s disciplined backline. His off-the-ball movement must be near perfect.
Kvaratskhelia vs Cash
The Georgian winger’s ability to cut inside and combine with overlapping full-backs could cause persistent problems for Villa’s right flank.
Midfield Battle: Kamara & Tielemans vs Ruiz & Vitinha
Control of midfield will be decisive. If Villa allow PSG to dominate possession, it will become increasingly difficult to mount a comeback.
Aston Villa vs PSG Betting Insights and Odds
- PSG to Win: 2.05 (Implied Probability: 49%)
- Aston Villa to Win: 3.30
- Over 2.5 Goals: 1.67
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes): 1.53
Recommended Bet: PSG to Win @ 2.05
Predicted Result: Aston Villa 1 – 3 PSG (PSG win 6-2 on aggregate)
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"Our objective is to try to play with one strong plan in our tactical way tomorrow and then try to be consistent." #UCL pic.twitter.com/MEBJeWaNS5
— Aston Villa (@AVFCOfficial) April 14, 2025
Conclusion
The odds, data, and form all point toward PSG advancing comfortably to the semi-finals. With superior midfield control, an explosive front line, and a proven winning mentality in high-pressure matches, Paris look set to extend their Champions League campaign. Aston Villa will need a near-perfect performance—and more—to change the script.
