The upcoming Serie A fixture between AS Roma and Atalanta promises to be a high-stakes encounter. With both teams showcasing contrasting form, this match holds significant implications for their league standings and momentum. Below, we provide a detailed analysis, including team performance, key statistics, and expert predictions for this critical showdown.
Recent Form and Key Statistics
AS Roma: Struggling to Find Consistency
Roma have endured a challenging run in their last 10 league games, managing only three wins while suffering five losses and two draws. Their offensive output has been modest, with an average of 1.3 goals per game from 14.1 attempts. Notable performances have come from Artem Dovbyk, who leads the team with four goals, while midfielders Stephan El Shaarawy and Paulo Dybala have contributed two goals each.
Defensively, Roma have struggled, conceding 1.6 goals per game. Their defensive setup, despite high possession averages of 58.4%, has been porous, allowing opponents ample opportunities with 4.7 shots on target per match.
Atalanta: Dominant and Resilient
In stark contrast, Atalanta have been in scintillating form, registering eight wins in their last 10 league outings. They boast an impressive average of 2.9 goals per game, with Mateo Retegui and Ademola Lookman leading the charge with nine and seven goals, respectively.
Atalanta’s defense has also been commendable, conceding only 1.0 goals per game. The team’s ability to control matches is evident in their 57.3% possession rate, supported by an average of 543 passes per game. Goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi has kept three clean sheets, further underlining their defensive solidity.
Roma vs Atalanta Head-to-Head Analysis
Recent Meetings
Atalanta have dominated this fixture in recent times, winning six of the last 10 encounters, including a 2-1 triumph in their previous meeting at Gewiss Stadium. Roma have only managed two wins during this period, with the remaining two matches ending in draws.
Key Trends
- Atalanta have covered the -0.25 Asian Handicap in their last seven matches, reflecting their consistent performances.
- Roma have failed to cover the +0.25 line in three consecutive games, highlighting their struggles against well-organized teams.
Predicted Lineups
AS Roma (3-4-2-1)
- Goalkeeper: Mile Svilar
- Defenders: Gianluca Mancini, Mats Hummels, Evan N’Dicka
- Midfielders: Mehmet Zeki Celik, Angelino, Kouadio Kone, Bryan Cristante
- Attackers: Lorenzo Pellegrini, Paulo Dybala, Artem Dovbyk
Atalanta (3-4-1-2)
- Goalkeeper: Marco Carnesecchi
- Defenders: Odilon Kossounou, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac
- Midfielders: Raoul Bellanova, Matteo Ruggeri, Marten de Roon, Ederson
- Forwards: Mario Pasalic, Mateo Retegui, Ademola Lookman
Roma vs Atalanta Expert Predictions
Asian Handicap Recommendation:
Atalanta -0.25 @ 1.95
This line offers value given Atalanta’s recent dominance and Roma’s inconsistent form. Backing Atalanta ensures a payout even in the case of a narrow draw.
Correct Score Prediction:
Atalanta 2-1 Roma
Given both teams’ scoring capabilities and Roma’s defensive frailties, this outcome is a plausible scenario.
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Conclusion
With Atalanta’s superior form and tactical coherence, they enter this match as favorites. Roma, despite their challenges, have the potential to make this a closely contested encounter if they can regain their defensive organization and capitalize on set-piece opportunities.
